The last two years I used a very simple model to predict the outcomes of every college football bowl game. I utilized the same model again this year and posted my predictions in the table below.
2016 (24-18 57.14%)
2015 (29-12 70.73%)
UPDATE
The model finished with a record of 26-15. This placed it in the 92% percentile of entries on ESPN’s Bowl Mania.
Bowl | Location | Date | Team A | Team B | Pick |
Celebration Bowl | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA | December 16 | North Carolina A&T | Grambling | North Carolina A&T |
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl | Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans LA | December 16 | Troy | North Texas | Troy |
AutoNation Cure Bowl | Camping World StadiumOrlando, FL | December 16 | Georgia State | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky |
Las Vegas Bowl | Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas NV | December 16 | Boise State | Oregon | Oregon |
Gildan New Mexico Bowl | Branch Field at Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque NM | December 16 | Marshall | Colorado State | Colorado State |
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl | Cramton Bowl, Montgomery AL | December 16 | Middle Tennessee | Arkansas State | Arkansas State |
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl | Howard Schnellenberger Field at FAU Stadium, Boca Raton FL | December 19 | Florida Atlantic | Akron | Florida Atlantic |
DXL Frisco Bowl | Toyota Stadium, Frisco TX | December 20 | Louisiana Tech | Southern Methodist | Southern Methodist |
Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl | Tropicana Field St. Petersburg FL | December 21 | Temple | Florida International | Temple |
Bahamas Bowl | Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium, Nassau Bahamas | December 22 | Ohio | Alabama Birmingham | Ohio |
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl | Lyle Smith Field at Albertsons Stadium, Boise ID | December 22 | Wyoming | Central Michigan | Wyoming |
Birmingham Bowl | Legion Field, Birmingham AL | December 23 | South Florida | Texas Tech | South Florida |
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl | Amon G. Carter Stadium Fort Worth TX | December 23 | Army | San Diego State | San Diego State |
Dollar General Bowl | Ladd-Peebles Stadium Mobile AL | December 23 | Appalachian State | Toledo | Toledo |
Hawai’i Bowl | Hawaiian Tel Federal Credit Union Field at Aloha Stadium, Honolulu HI | December 24 | Fresno State | Houston | Fresno State |
Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl | Cotton Bowl, Dallas TX | December 26 | Utah | West Virginia | West Virginia |
Quick Lane Bowl | Ford Field, Detroit MI | December 26 | Duke | Northern Illinois | Duke |
Cactus Bowl | Chase Field, Phoenix AZ | December 26 | Kansas State | UCLA | Kansas State |
Walk-On’s Independence Bowl | Independence Stadium, Shreveport LA | December 27 | Florida State | Southern Mississippi | Florida State |
New Era Pinstripe Bowl | Yankee Stadium, New York NY | December 27 | Iowa | Boston College | Boston College |
Foster Farms Bowl | Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara CA | December 27 | Purdue | Arizona | Arizona |
Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl | NRG Stadium, Houston TX | December 27 | Texas | Missouri | Texas |
Military Bowl Presented by Northrop Grumman | Jack Stephens Field at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis MD | December 28 | Navy | Virginia | Navy |
Camping World Bowl | Camping World Stadium, Orlando FL | December 28 | Oklahoma State | Virginia Tech | Oklahoma State |
Valero Alamo Bowl | Alamodome, San Antonio TX | December 28 | Texas Christian | Stanford | Texas Christian |
San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl | SDCCU Stadium, San Diego CA | December 28 | Michigan State | Washington State | Michigan State |
Belk Bowl | Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte NC | December 29 | Wake Forest | Texas A&M | Wake Forest |
Hyundai Sun Bowl | Sun Bowl, El Paso TX | December 29 | North Carolina State | Arizona State | North Carolina State |
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl | Nissan Stadium, Nashville TN | December 29 | Northwestern | Kentucky | Northwestern |
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl | Arizona Stadium, Tucson AZ | December 29 | New Mexico State | Utah State | Utah State |
Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic | AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX | December 29 | Ohio State | Southern California | Ohio State |
TaxSlayer Bowl | EverBank Field, Jacksonville FL | December 30 | Mississippi State | Louisville | Louisville |
AutoZone Liberty Bowl | Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis TN | December 30 | Iowa State | Memphis | Memphis |
PlayStation Fiesta Bowl | University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale AZ | December 30 | Pennsylvania State | Washington | Pennsylvania State |
Capital One Orange Bowl | Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL | December 30 | Wisconsin | Miami | Wisconsin |
Outback Bowl | Raymond James Stadium, Tampa FL | January 1 | South Carolina | Michigan | Michigan |
Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA | January 1 | Central Florida | Auburn | Auburn |
Citrus Bowl Presented by Overton’s | Camping World Stadium, Orlando FL | January 1 | Notre Dame | Louisiana State | Notre Dame |
Rose Bowl Game Presented by Northwestern Mutual | Rose Bowl, Pasadena CA | January 1 | Georgia | Oklahoma | Georgia |
Allstate Sugar Bowl | Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans LA | January 1 | Alabama | Clemson | Alabama |
National Championship Presented By AT&T | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA | January 8 | Georgia | Alabama | Alabama |